Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$96.64
Liquidity
$32.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dAI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 41¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 41¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 41¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 41¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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