Excitable-Loop
0x64aebcb373303c68638edb8a0db3a5449ba1b0a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.04
Total PnL
$2.69
Realised
$1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$8.00
$2.40
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-0.02
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?$5.60Mar 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.15Mar 7, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 24, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 24, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$3.00Jan 22, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00Jan 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.60Jan 18, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.