Strident-Soot
0x64b47229f7b9340ccbd52768959fb55ac148b21e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$325.88
Win rate
21%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
2674 shares @ 64.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$2.0K
$265.81
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1232 shares @ 59.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$819.05
$90.79
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
729 shares @ 56.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$579.83
$169.28
- NO
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$475.00
$125.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$452.50
$42.60
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
337 shares @ 64.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$303.30
$85.57
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
395 shares @ 59.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$205.39
$-30.75
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
454 shares @ 79.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$192.99
$-166.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
2014 shares @ 20.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.87
$-298.17
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
700 shares @ 38.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$115.50
$-156.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$1.4KAug 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$1.3KAug 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$159.43Aug 10, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?$10.00Aug 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$203.59Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$455.00Aug 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$271.70Aug 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?$9.04Aug 8, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$364.32Aug 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$836.57Aug 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?$124.37Aug 8, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?$90.31Aug 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?$26.20Aug 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$411.12Aug 8, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$1.3KAug 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.6KAug 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.6KAug 8, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$20.40Aug 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$47.09Aug 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$688.80Aug 7, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $323.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.