Lustrous-Tear
0x64c6069071e055d26501f121e950690c8c9b8f19
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$330.70
Total PnL
$-481.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$292.80
$22.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
147 shares @ 52.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.15
$-58.34
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.75
$-16.25
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Heat
400 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-107.99
- NO
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
106 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-74.19
- NO
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
106 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-69.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
101 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
101 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.28
- UMASS
Bowling vs. UMass
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- CANADIENS
Stars vs. Canadiens
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $30.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.