Ignorant-Ban
0x64c93e53ed8d5f3ed9e6981489c68f6abab364b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$15.57
Total PnL
$-448.45
Realised
$-6.63
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
58 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.85
$-1.15
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
17 shares @ 34.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.26
$-3.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$1.02Jun 14, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$4.00Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$7.14Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jun 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.02Jun 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.27Jun 9, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1.41Jun 9, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$11.63Jun 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.03Jun 7, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.03Jun 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jun 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00Jun 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Jun 1, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.12Jun 1, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$1.25Jun 1, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.