Organic-Credibility
0x64ed0e4b813b07df27f2c14ec62cddaf27e0b45b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$55.45
Total PnL
$5.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.81
$0.81
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.14
$-0.86
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.46
$2.46
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.82
$0.87
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$1.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.05May 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$10.00May 1, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$5.32May 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.00Apr 21, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$5.00Apr 21, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$10.00Apr 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$3.00Mar 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Mar 30, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.