Icy-Gingerbread
0x6608f808d4cff3e5fe7dc6acf5e5d0ba862e35d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$48.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
3430 shares @ 21.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$463.05
$-277.14
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$365.00
$-215.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
900 shares @ 39.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.50
$-91.50
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
2000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$250.00
$-10.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
600 shares @ 28.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.00
$-9.00
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
175 shares @ 73.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$132.32
$4.38
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
1710 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$128.25
$-8.55
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
220 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.10
$18.70
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2532 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
1663 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-561.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$1.00May 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$7.60May 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$7.60May 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$100.10May 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.12May 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$34.78May 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$58.97May 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 14, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$2.81May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.61May 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$195.78May 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.80May 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$105.34May 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$195.88May 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$130.00May 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$103.40May 14, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$62.25May 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$168.00May 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$130.00May 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$236.55May 14, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $143.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".