Icy-Gingerbread
0x6608f808d4cff3e5fe7dc6acf5e5d0ba862e35d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$355.28
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$48.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
900 shares @ 39.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.50
$-145.50
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
600 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.00
$-99.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
76 shares @ 57.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$68.78
$24.82
- YES
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
3430 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-740.19
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
3190 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-270.40
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2532 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
2000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
1663 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-561.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$43.96Jul 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 27?$41.60Jul 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$8.00Jul 2, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Jul 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$58.00May 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$58.00May 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$79.54May 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.40May 23, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.34May 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.06May 23, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$132.59May 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.31May 23, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.21May 23, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$82.00May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$97.38May 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$15.20May 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$10.00May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$7.60May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$33.60May 17, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $72.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.