Descriptive-Embossing
0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$140.6K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
80000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.0K
$24.0K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
80000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.0K
$-24.0K
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
13019 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$12.6K
$517.25
- YES
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
10982 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$11.0K
$1.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
9751 shares @ 66.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.7K
$1.2K
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
7003 shares @ 82.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.8K
$6.49
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8500 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.9K
$212.50
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
6780 shares @ 58.4¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$4.1K
$141.55
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
4185 shares @ 79.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.9K
$562.75
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
3971 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.9K
$78.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$1.5KJul 29, 01:30 UTC
- REWARD$0.98Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$7.15Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.24Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.27Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2.37Jul 28, 19:54 UTC
- REWARD$22.44Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$956.22Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1.80Jul 28, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$2.90Jul 28, 02:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.85Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$2.89Jul 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1.6KJul 28, 00:24 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.0KJul 28, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$8.52Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$10.43Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$41.00Jul 27, 21:48 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.0KJul 27, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$2.9KJul 27, 19:11 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.0KJul 27, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $605.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.