Unwritten-Surplus
0x6656af2afdf43151dc485a17e5b6d7bd522a9cdd
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$75.91
Total PnL
$-0.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 7?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 7, 2026$14.86
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 7, 2026$14.73
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 7?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 7, 2026$14.13
$-0.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$10.99
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$10.88
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 7?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 7, 2026$9.79
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.27
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 7?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.14
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?
11 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.12
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?
11 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.01
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?$0.301h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 7?$0.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?$14.712h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?$0.113h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?$0.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?$0.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 7?$14.714h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 7?$9.904h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 7?$14.865h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?$10.795h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?$0.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?$0.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?$0.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 6?$10.905h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 1?$14.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 1?$13.004d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 1?$11.005d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 1?$15.005d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?$14.005d ago
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$14.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".