0x66716a9a516c09d149fb8d2026a8e1951f32917d
0x66716a9a516c09d149fb8d2026a8e1951f32917d
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$304.80
Total PnL
$-83.21
Realised
$21.75
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
29 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$2.90
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
26 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$26.00
$0.78
- NO
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
23 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$23.00
$5.29
- NO
Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?
23 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$23.00
$4.45
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$5.40
- NO
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?
18 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$18.00
$5.94
- NO
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$11.00
$6.27
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$6.00
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.00
$5.60
- NO
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$9.00
$4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.