Straight-Hunting
0x66a1db98713015330a82f08273b682bee77e80d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-783.81
Realised
$795.76
Win rate
92%
106 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
2030 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$60.91
$-21.99
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 20.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$52.50
$-51.00
- YES
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
2100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.40
$-35.27
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
1210 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.00
$-7.74
- NO
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?
800 shares @ 7.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.80
$-14.80
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
1120 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.48
$-3.65
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
1314 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.66
$7.02
- YES
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?
639 shares @ 12.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.52
$-37.03
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
360 shares @ 14.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.40
$-11.30
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
485 shares @ 5.7¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.34
$10.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$0.10Jul 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$0.05Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.02Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$3.30Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.72Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?$0.06Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.30Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.01Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?$2.49Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.01Jul 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$0.02Jul 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$0.01Jul 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$0.01Jul 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$2.86Jul 28, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$1.10Jul 28, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$1.29Jul 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?$12.00Jul 28, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 106 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
106 closed markets, 92% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 106 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.