Deserted-Fabric
0x66a718e01090c70fab7c6ea06b845ee05c816569
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$982.38
Total PnL
$-542.15
Realised
$85.68
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
645 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$645.00
$83.85
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
258 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$258.00
$108.36
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
733 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.65
$-117.28
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$30.00
$9.30
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.79
$5.70
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$0.31
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
22 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.56
$-2.30
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1 shares @ 53.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.48
$-0.05
- YES
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.69
- NO
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
788 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-126.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$8.00Apr 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5$115.14Apr 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$134.08Apr 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$168.96Apr 21, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$2.24Apr 12, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$3.70Apr 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$3.68Apr 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$132.12Apr 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$124.56Apr 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$43.29Apr 10, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$8.20Apr 9, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$34.56Apr 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$36.18Apr 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$175.56Apr 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$80.22Apr 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$9.03Apr 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$149.64Apr 8, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$163.28Apr 8, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$85.00Apr 8, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$530.00Apr 8, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $122.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.