Frequent-Opportunist
0x66a7fa4b273f25cd6f26acd5e4e5f7a3d04c4f59
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$601.30
Total PnL
$-81.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 54.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$400.00
$182.40
- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
260 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.30
$-19.43
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-244.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$240.90Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$215.38Jul 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.37Jul 8, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.98Jul 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$106.38Jul 1, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$111.22Jul 1, 07:05 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.96Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$244.80Jun 28, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$181.79Jun 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$49.46Jun 26, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$378.40Jun 24, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $277.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.