Diligent-Brocolli
0x66d75f659e20e1b1894e52e3c6ad52c9a51d5b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
189
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$-246.9K
Realised
$-52.36
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 189- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
43833 shares @ 23.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$-7.4K
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
4418 shares @ 25.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$1.3K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
19590 shares @ 21.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-2.1K
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5324 shares @ 15.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$350.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
13262 shares @ 19.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
4749 shares @ 35.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-571.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
6625 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$-1.0K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
7107 shares @ 27.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$959.44
$-991.59
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
614 shares @ 31.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.79
$-161.51
- YES
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
130 shares @ 31.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.81
$-38.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19Aug 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Aug 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$5.00Aug 1, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Aug 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $120.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.