0x66f0295e2c48aa2b599d5b5a513b0f50b0afd156
0x66f0295e2c48aa2b599d5b5a513b0f50b0afd156
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$26.46
Total PnL
$5.72
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$13.16
$8.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.57
$2.57
- UNDER
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.74
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 23.7¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 17.6¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$2.05Jul 3, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET$1.06Jul 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 3, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 3?$2.13Jul 3, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$2.06Jul 3, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jul 3, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 3, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$5.14Jul 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 3?$5.24Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 61,000 on July 2, 2AM ET?$0.00Jul 2, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 60,800 on July 2, 3AM ET?$0.00Jul 2, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2AM ET$2.08Jul 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 60,800 on July 2, 3AM ET?$1.07Jul 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 61,000 on July 2, 2AM ET?$1.06Jul 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.11Jul 2, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 1?$0.00Jul 1, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 1?$0.00Jul 1, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.