Instructive-Graffiti
0x674b7cdecbdc217fd259be944a9dfae02fe1f1af
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$496.80
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$-145.27
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2475 shares @ 20.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.85
$-240.15
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3791 shares @ 7.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.21
$-176.79
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$-120.00
- YES
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
677 shares @ 14.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.48
$-68.52
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.25
$-28.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
677 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.02
$-8.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 27?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
12065 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
10001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9091 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$20.00Apr 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$20.00Apr 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$50.00Apr 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Apr 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$20.00Apr 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$30.00Apr 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$60.00Mar 5, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$139.12Mar 5, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$84.68Mar 5, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$200.00Mar 5, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.8KMar 1, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.0KMar 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.0KFeb 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$200.00Feb 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$800.00Feb 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.3KFeb 28, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$1.3KJan 24, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $263.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.