Ordinary-Iron
0x67f642b5be7ef31654323c5a53eca353f09c06ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$51.67
Total PnL
$-116.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
119 shares @ 40.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.39
$-21.11
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
103 shares @ 20.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.28
$3.28
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
136 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$21.00Jun 23, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$10.97Jun 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$7.50Jun 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$2.81Jun 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$2.22Jun 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$25.48Jun 2, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$53.15Apr 3, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$46.00Mar 25, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $21.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.