Reliable-Fallingout
0x68158d89d0c0d604b784afb1e235d8f77613e527
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$16.25
Total PnL
$-107.73
Realised
$5.19
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 48.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.46
$-1.08
- YES
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?
27 shares @ 16.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.21
$-3.21
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
25 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.61
- YES
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-2.90
- YES
Ben Pasternak jailed?
3 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.37
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
5 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.04
$-0.60
- AKITA NORTHERN HAPPINETS
Sendai 89ers vs. Akita Northern Happinets
220 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?
75 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.00Jun 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.43Jun 13, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$5.25Jun 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.75Jun 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.25Jun 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.87Jun 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.23Jun 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.05Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1.50Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.13Jun 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.68Jun 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.08Jun 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$0.85Jun 3, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$3.40Jun 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?$3.84Jun 1, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?$0.46Jun 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?$0.56Jun 1, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$2.25May 31, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.81May 31, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.