Optimistic-Place
0x6833adf871437da9aa48f8ae1c2af95016712011
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$195.89
Total PnL
$-289.48
Realised
$-2.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$33.32
$23.32
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$32.14
$-17.86
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
178 shares @ 16.9¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.69
$1.69
- YES
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$20.53
$0.53
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-30.50
- YES
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.49
$-2.51
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
92 shares @ 32.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.69
$-15.31
- YES
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.33
$-6.67
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.53
$-3.47
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$-3.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?$34.4821m ago
- REDEEMWill RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$74.071h ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$6.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?$10.226h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?$10.216h ago
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$20.436h ago
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$10.2510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?$10.2110h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$10.2210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$10.2210h ago
- YIELD$0.0018h ago
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$19.5121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$20.4923h ago
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$10.2223h ago
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?$0.391d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?$101.321d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$20.472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.752d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$51.182d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 21m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
