Multicolored-Adapter
0x684e1511b466f0be024c5d645ed06fb275e55aa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$102.16
Total PnL
$-86.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
233 shares @ 20.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$66.24
$19.55
- YES
António Guterres out by December 31?
85 shares @ 30.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$9.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
652 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 42.0 on December 19, 2025?
454 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
218 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?
146 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.11
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
131 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAntónio Guterres out by December 31?$15.39May 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$10.36May 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$13.61May 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?$3.65May 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?$0.43May 8, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$3.16May 8, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$11.35May 4, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$0.03May 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?$4.20May 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$4.35May 3, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$4.03May 2, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$26.17May 2, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$30.09May 2, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?$0.38Apr 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?$10.91Apr 29, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$11.19Apr 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntónio Guterres out by December 31?$11.00Apr 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?$10.50Apr 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red on April 24, 2026?$18.40Apr 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$18.40Apr 24, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".