Magnificent-Bureau
0x6853780d97f233b4fdf1089f2c648f45baad5846
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$158.6K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-6.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66141 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.7K
$-231.49
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.9K
$-50.00
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19376 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.2K
$-55.30
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.9K
$8.9K
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16957 shares @ 97.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.9K
$-600.07
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
11830 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.1K
$-59.15
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
8047 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.0K
$3.2K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-8.9K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16957 shares @ 2.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$585.02
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66141 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$429.92
$231.49
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$35.25May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$15.61May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$15.00May 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$7.50May 16, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$18.75May 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.65May 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$3.00May 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$75.00May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$292.50May 16, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$2.88May 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$3.42May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$4.47May 16, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$7.50May 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$24.10May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$4.50May 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$300.00May 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$7.50May 16, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$3.02May 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$1.50May 16, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $113.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".