Wilted-Causal
0x68601641b3b7f3a8a7df8b8948154ad0f2f28485
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$99.00
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$30.34
$0.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$19.23
$14.23
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
450 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.71
$-16.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
14 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$13.51
$8.38
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
63 shares @ 7.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.45
$5.68
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$-7.52
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.00Jun 6, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.27Jun 6, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.26Jun 6, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.36Jun 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.40Jun 5, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLJapanese parliament dissolved in 2026?$0.96Jun 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.30Jun 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.18May 27, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00May 27, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$78.30May 27, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$25.58May 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$25.68May 27, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.01May 27, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".