Flustered-Pier
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95a0391528ea3d85d930dc
Quality score
70/100
Open positions
13
Open notional
$106.87
Total PnL
$-108.79
Realised
$-6.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
116 shares @ 37.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.47
$-6.84
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
470 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.07
$-10.84
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
87 shares @ 48.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.85
$-17.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.96
$-7.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$-4.33
- YES
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
359 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
9 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.2378d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$20.2378d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$6.5184d ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$6.5184d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$9.3189d ago
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$4.4189d ago
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$4.9089d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$31.9490d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$30.3190d ago
- YIELD$0.0090d ago
- YIELD$0.0091d ago
- YIELD$0.0092d ago
- YIELD$0.0093d ago
- YIELD$0.0094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$34.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$30.4095d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$23.5695d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$13.6895d ago
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$28.4295d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$43.0095d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 105d ago
- Last active
- 78d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.