Talkative-Moccasins
0x68ba4f7175508d754245d042ed3f435f78550e6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$98.31
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-239.02
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
328 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$80.36
$-50.84
- YES
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
21 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$17.22
$4.20
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.73
$-0.15
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
338 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-270.40
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 5PM ET
274 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-134.26
- NO
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
191 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.83
- NO
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
156 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-131.04
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
5 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?$10.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)$246.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWatford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score$630.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMPartizan vs. BC Dubai$832.00Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.1KApr 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?$1.2KApr 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$45.90Apr 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$92.16Apr 11, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$99.36Apr 11, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$194.40Apr 11, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$391.28Apr 10, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$403.04Apr 9, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$403.04Apr 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$56.10Apr 7, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?$459.90Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?$438.00Mar 29, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?$8.19Mar 26, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$108.22Mar 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$249.60Mar 24, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $215.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.