Occasional-Web
0x68d8bfc136edc3e3ee563ae4d4c9340bad4b2908
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.08
Total PnL
$-205.14
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
80 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.68
$-0.04
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
52 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.39
$0.03
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.66
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
189 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will LaNorris Sellers be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
136 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
128 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.23May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.34May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.35May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.54May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.34May 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.86May 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.14May 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.38May 8, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)$0.00Apr 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)$16.37Apr 12, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$5.00Apr 10, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$3.46Apr 10, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.75Apr 8, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.99Apr 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?$0.43Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 8?$0.61Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.36Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.36Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.39Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-11?$0.39Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".