Watchful-Licorice
0x68ec67ce49814f1454ad9c1e922553bd86d48ef8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$61.87
Total PnL
$-228.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.00
$5.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.76
$0.76
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
7 shares @ 70.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.05
$2.05
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.58
$1.58
- YES
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.21
$-5.79
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-7.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
98 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.31
$-36.97
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.10
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$39.28Mar 4, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$14.29Mar 4, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$25.00Mar 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.67Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$113.20Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$267.56Feb 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$137.84Feb 25, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$46.97Feb 25, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$45.25Feb 25, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$108.16Feb 25, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?$2.56Feb 25, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$5.26Feb 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$191.04Feb 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$191.04Feb 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$149.49Feb 22, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$21.89Feb 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$32.02Feb 22, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$20.00Feb 22, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $47.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".