Admired-Ship
0x6913c428344ac11f48a193be77c6ebe5a304884d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$61.53
Total PnL
$-16.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.13
$0.13
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.40
$0.40
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- NO
US defaults on debt by 2027?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$7.04May 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$7.91May 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?$11.94May 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$12.48May 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?$13.07May 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15.99May 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?$11.0KMay 13, 06:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?$11.0KMay 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$546.29May 12, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 12?$400.40May 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.6KMay 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$28.71May 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$12.54May 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$29.70May 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00May 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.35May 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$59.52May 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.00May 12, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $576.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.