Vain-Councilman
0x692a7bf9ad55d776e94fd00f86541bf8633b491f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$435.58
Total PnL
$-97.02
Realised
$-36.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
617 shares @ 21.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$166.50
$34.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 66.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.00
$0.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.50
$4.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50 shares @ 79.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.75
$-5.75
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$1.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.70
$-4.90
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.62
$0.62
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.68
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$33.88May 20, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 20, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.00May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 15, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.00May 15, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.76May 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$29.91May 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$49.00May 14, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$48.00May 14, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$63.00May 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.00May 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$4.38May 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$70.00May 10, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$11.00May 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$31.97May 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.80May 8, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.60May 8, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $22.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".