Bronze-Fortress
0x69466a57a26ea7ac203a822dfd5360ded66b59b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$440.43
Total PnL
$-114.51
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.30
$5.30
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
128 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.66
$11.54
- NO
Trump goes to space in 2026?
100 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.35
$2.15
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
48 shares @ 55.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.27
$5.85
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-1.05
- YES
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by September 30?
220 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
80 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.60
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?
60 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.40
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.