Infinite-Vise-Wombat
0x6980940714818120e024de4b1c1667055dbbad28
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$47.64
Total PnL
$-132.27
Realised
$23.15
Win rate
91%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2027$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Little Joe escape again?
27 shares @ 7.5¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shrek 5 be delayed?$1.04Jul 24, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY3M Open: Albatross?$1.05Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?$1.00Jul 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 24, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?$1.00Jul 24, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 24, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?$1.48Jul 24, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$5.88Jul 20, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$1.48Jul 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Jul 16, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$1.03Jul 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.03Jul 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?$1.00Jul 16, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?$4.17Jul 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jul 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out by July 10?$1.00Jul 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.54Jul 6, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
43 closed markets, 91% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.