Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026?
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$10.00
Liquidity
$36.08
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryStatements from Paris HiltonTypePublic-figure statementConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (65.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 65.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryStatements from Paris HiltonTypePublic-figure statementConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (65.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5834.5h
- 21:29SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Biggest hourly move: +30.0pp at 1d ago (to 51¢).
Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
- 01:00 · +23.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +19.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +20.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +20.0pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +20.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +30.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +20.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +20.5pp → 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paris Hilton announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Paris Hilton, her partner, or their representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.