Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$555.34
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 27¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5971h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 44.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5971.4h
- 04:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5971h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: -24.0pp at 2d ago (to 24¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 04:37 · +3.0pp → 27¢
- 22:00 · +5.5pp → 32¢
- 21:00 · +6.5pp → 31¢
- 20:00 · +7.0pp → 32¢
- 18:00 · +8.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -24.0pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any entity enters into an agreement to acquire S.S. Lazio by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Acquiring S.S. Lazio refers to any transaction that results in Claudio Lotito no longer being the primary stakeholder in the club. An announced agreement between S.S. Lazio, Claudio Lotito, or their representatives and an acquiring entity or set of entities will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Claudio Lotito, S.S. Lazio, and the acquiring entity; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (44.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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