Little-Counseling
0x69db9ed733caafd08274e667a1f5d4aac9d87aa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$136.83
Total PnL
$-303.15
Realised
$-2.51
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.65
$3.65
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 84.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.83
$0.83
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$1.04Aug 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$1.02Jul 23, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.31Jul 6, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$5.50Jul 1, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.11Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.25Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.