Frilly-Store
0x6a13f89d4f682831e853f75cdc5355f8eac297b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$20.88
Total PnL
$-30.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Isaac del Toro finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
17 shares @ 29.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$8.98
$3.98
- YES
Will Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Juan Ayuso finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will Paul Seixas finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.34
$-2.66
- YES
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
60 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 20?
10 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$2.08Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$5.11Jul 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Seixas finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$5.05Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Ayuso finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$5.12Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isaac del Toro finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$5.18Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 15, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.65Jul 2, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.