Definite-Savory
0x6a273f8f6d84c324e60415f8e7ec15e982952ac2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.73
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.77
$0.32
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2289 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1977 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-988.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1333 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-666.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
997 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-498.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$4.98Jul 21, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$0.00Jul 19, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$5.00Jul 19, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$4.20Jul 1, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.00Jul 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.97Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$4.95May 24, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.97May 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.45May 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.80Apr 30, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.02Apr 29, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.96Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?$8.00Feb 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$498.50Oct 28, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.1KOct 28, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$988.50Oct 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$666.50Oct 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?$3.04Oct 28, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$100.00Oct 15, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $516.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.