Constant-Everybody
0x6a721b5a0460cec04c08db272863ece607aa1369
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.44
Total PnL
$-107.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
130 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?
63 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
43 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.33
- YES
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
24 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
13 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$0.00Mar 18, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3,700 on October 17?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 16?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $170 October 13-19?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.70 on October 17?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "N Word" in October?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.65Mar 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.31Mar 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.72Mar 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.28Mar 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$6.44Mar 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.40Mar 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$0.62Mar 16, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".