Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-2.1pp
24h Vol
$664.43
Liquidity
$18.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 827h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $18.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 826.6h
- 13:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 827h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from French Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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