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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 30, 2026

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-2.1pp

24h Vol

$664.43

Liquidity

$18.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:22
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 827h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $18.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 826.6h

    LOW
  • 13:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 827h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 French Ligue 1. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from French Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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