Lonely-Freedom
0x6a74e161219c878efa6c2078e10bfc2e263380f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$799.65
Total PnL
$-162.98
Realised
$12.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
563 shares @ 88.1¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$429.41
$-66.59
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
121 shares @ 82.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.79
$14.79
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.25
$-3.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
57 shares @ 53.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.00
$15.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.60
$-1.20
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
68 shares @ 58.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.88
$-15.12
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
27 shares @ 75.1¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.64
$3.64
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.64
$1.64
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 25.2¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.23
$-0.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$20.00Jun 12, 16:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 10, 23:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$37.70Jun 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$400.00Jun 9, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$14.51Jun 8, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$131.09Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.30Jun 5, 18:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$20.00Jun 4, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $44.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.