0x6a7a02103b97dd1ccc4ed402fffb8bf67ea66c9a
0x6a7a02103b97dd1ccc4ed402fffb8bf67ea66c9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$208.69
Total PnL
$-9.54
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
176 shares @ 51.1¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$87.73
$-2.27
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?
96 shares @ 53.1¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$43.83
$-7.29
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 84.7¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.26
$-0.73
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$24.17
$-5.83
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.42
$6.40
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$0.00Jul 14, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.32Jul 14, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$30.55Jul 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Champion" at Freedom 250 showcase?$10.52Jul 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Champion" at Freedom 250 showcase?$9.70Jul 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" at Freedom 250 showcase?$9.75Jul 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" at Freedom 250 showcase?$9.67Jul 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$11.78Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$27.11Jul 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$18.52Jul 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$30.08Jul 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$30.10Jul 13, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$9.60Jul 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$6.29Jul 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?$30.00Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?$21.12Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$30.74Jul 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$30.74Jul 13, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.