Sore-Cream
0x6ab2b59b320c5a2927221d86e97a946666272c79
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$88.50
Total PnL
$-1.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
39 shares @ 77.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$30.94
$0.94
- YES
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?
22 shares @ 36.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$10.78
$2.78
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.40
$2.40
- YES
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
16 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$7.00
$0.00
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- NO
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$3.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4.71Jul 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$10.09Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$20.19Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?$4.05Jul 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?$5.02Jul 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?$8.20Jul 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$4.07Jul 22, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$5.09Jul 22, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?$5.11Jul 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?$2.05Jul 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$5.00Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.00Jul 22, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$15.01Jul 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.95Jul 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$5.60Jul 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.19Jul 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.03Jul 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.03Jul 14, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$10.20Jul 14, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$10.23Jul 14, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.