Intentional-Star
0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$31.8K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-21.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
38467 shares @ 20.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.1K
$-883.58
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
10266 shares @ 58.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$5.9K
$-96.85
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.9K
$-150.00
- YES
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
4008 shares @ 69.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$45.60
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
76358 shares @ 8.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.7K
$-4.0K
- NO
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?
2213 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.1K
$-13.07
- NO
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?
1412 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$2.45
- NO
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 0 Austria?
1303 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.2K
$-6.76
- NO
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 England?
1302 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.2K
$-19.53
- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?
644 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$560.45
$-19.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jun 27, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$101.16Jun 27, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: DR Congo 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?$1.5KJun 27, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Algeria 2 - 0 Austria?$1.3KJun 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.31Jun 27, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: DR Congo 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?$1.5KJun 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 1 - 1 England?$1.3KJun 27, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?$1.4KJun 27, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Croatia 3 - 0 Ghana?$2.1KJun 27, 17:31 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.96Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$1.0KJun 26, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-26?$1.3KJun 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$1.0KJun 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?$1.7KJun 26, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?$1.8KJun 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$1.7KJun 26, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States?$861.70Jun 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$307.20Jun 26, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?$734.26Jun 26, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Netherlands?$652.17Jun 26, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
57%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
$31.4K · 60% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.