Negligible-Freon
0x6acb9d6ed3837121c900e6c8d912a60855ea3cd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$25.44
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
810 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
807 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-584.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
505 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will s1zzi have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026
201 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
146 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.87
- YES
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
122 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.13Jul 5, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$17.79Jun 28, 05:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.