Both-Correspondence
0x6ae1575206e99751ff60ec5c0adcaad572bc1e7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$97.9K
Total PnL
$104.2K
Realised
$106.6K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
77799 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.7K
$4.67
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12670 shares @ 91.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.0K
$365.92
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
9684 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$72.40
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1087 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.1K
$36.43
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
500 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$489.25
$11.25
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
152 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$147.93
$1.45
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
73 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.11
$1.85
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38996 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- OVER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5
10596 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5
5877 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$6.66Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.66Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.65Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.63Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- REWARD$4.49Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- YIELD$5.16Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$20.3KJul 20, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.65Jul 20, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$9.59Jul 20, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$103.01Jul 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jul 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.65Jul 20, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
$5.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $481.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.