Shocking-Skunk
0x6ae1bcb2564805a7eb2f8f0e335ff35c3c980d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$53.57
Total PnL
$11.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$20.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$8.93
$3.93
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.85
$1.85
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.65
$1.65
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.14
$1.14
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.01Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Yemen next?$0.00Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Feb 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00Feb 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$5.00Feb 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $5.00Feb 3, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Feb 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Feb 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.