Alarming-Caftan
0x6b15ef2bcc977f7411602f2077a32f38a54cc414
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.93
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 23?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on December 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on December 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$7.12May 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team WE qualify for EWC 2026?$1.03May 21, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?$5.26May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMAirbnb Nights and Seats Booked above 160 million in Q1?$10.31May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$12.37May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill HawkEye 360's market cap be at least $4.75B at market close on IPO day?$15.31May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Krstović win Serie A Player of the Month for April 2026?$15.31May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill SUJA LIFE's market cap be at least $1.4B at market close on IPO day?$15.32May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$15.40May 21, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?$9.01May 7, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?$10.10May 7, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?$15.02May 7, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?$15.02May 7, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?$9.00May 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?$15.00May 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?$15.00May 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?$5.01May 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$12.02May 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Krstović win Serie A Player of the Month for April 2026?$15.01May 6, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb Nights and Seats Booked above 160 million in Q1?$10.01May 6, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".