Trustworthy-Crayon
0x6b44cdccdc280e6d0be71782f0772a6bf4b2be1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$26.5K
Total PnL
$4.2K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
62%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
17248 shares @ 22.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.7K
$833.13
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
4928 shares @ 35.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.2K
$427.43
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
2446 shares @ 32.8¢·now 80.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.0K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$935.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
9094 shares @ 24.6¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$909.36
$-1.3K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?
854 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$772.69
$-4.27
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
854 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$772.69
$-4.27
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?
845 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$764.27
$-12.67
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
4114 shares @ 27.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$761.01
$-354.33
- NO
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
802 shares @ 76.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$657.97
$44.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$221.91Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?$95.72Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- REWARD$35.72Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$1.87Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.34Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.97Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$48.92Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$228.77Jun 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?$15.00Jun 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$44.50Jun 11, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$44.50Jun 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$44.50Jun 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$242.08Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?$78.32Jun 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?$18.00Jun 11, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$144.78Jun 11, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$29.25Jun 11, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$0.34Jun 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$0.82Jun 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$0.52Jun 11, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $37.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.