Real-Use
0x6b4505c86dfee2aa8ef3a85856c80a566eb8a669
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$106.09
Total PnL
$-24.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
106 shares @ 20.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$106.09
$84.14
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
221 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
57 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
35 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
27 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 19, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on February 28?$0.00Apr 9, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$20.70Apr 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1.25Apr 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.11Apr 8, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.23Apr 7, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00Apr 7, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00Apr 7, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$20.00Apr 7, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$3.00Jan 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$3.00Jan 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.00Jan 13, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$32.26Jan 9, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Jan 9, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.