Near-Figurine
0x6b89eee92b0d1f0a5ec736d997ee73d9430aeb06
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.01
Total PnL
$-3.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.70
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.65
$0.01
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.30
$0.02
- NO
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$1.85Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 11?$1.34Jul 11, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 11?$1.34Jul 11, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$1.85Jul 11, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 2?$1.71Jul 5, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 2?$1.71Jul 5, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.57Jul 1, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.75Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.57Jun 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.75Jun 29, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.52Jun 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?$1.67Jun 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 15?$1.65Jun 15, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.51Jun 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$1.02May 9, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?$1.28Apr 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.34Mar 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.64Mar 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?$1.69Dec 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.32Dec 29, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.