Smug-Peripheral
0x6bcd0763847a14c07972a80f1d5e8e887a7676bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 26-1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 3?
201 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 2?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?$50.00May 1, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?$53.05May 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 30?$53.00Apr 30, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$305.59Apr 29, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$200.00Apr 29, 10:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$200.00Apr 28, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$102.09Apr 28, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$102.00Apr 27, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$306.00Apr 27, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$102.09Apr 27, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 26?$103.10Apr 27, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$102.00Apr 25, 14:37 UTC
- SPLITWill gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?$50.00Apr 25, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 26?$103.00Apr 24, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 24?$94.09Apr 24, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 24?$94.00Apr 23, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 21?$230.21Apr 23, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $158.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.