Jubilant-Documentation
0x6bd3c4f65548c12a6941d146774f92fec18b7656
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$113.94
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$44.66
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1200 shares @ 8.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.20
$-64.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 24.3¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.70
$-9.90
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.25
$7.75
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.65
$4.65
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.64
$4.14
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2929 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
600 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.